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According to the data of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, by the end of November, 2024, China's foreign exchange reserves were US$ 3,265.9 billion, up US$ 4.8 billion from the end of October, and its gold reserves also increased.700 billion yuan of ultra-long-term special treasury bonds have all been allocated to "double" projects, and the implementation will be accelerated, which will have an impact on infrastructure construction and economic development.CDB Securities predicts that the A-share market will gather momentum in 2025, and the policy shift has far-reaching significance, and market expectations and confidence will be restored.

Industrial economy:Analysts believe that although there are downward trend pressures, annual line pressures and early lock-up pressures in technology, the market trend is strong, and these pressures may be broken if incremental funds enter the market.In terms of capital, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 and A500 indexes have seen capital outflows, but the inflow of financing has increased and the outflow of foreign capital has increased, showing the shock and wait-and-see attitude of market funds.

Capital market dynamics:Policy expectation:Policy expectation: